Everyone is wondering now if this is a V-shaped recovery or if we are going to retest the bottom (around 2200). If we retest and break through, there is a very strong support level at 1600 because that was the top of the market in 2000 and 2008. If we do see a collapse, I don’t think it will go below that level.
I’ve been seeing suggestions that the mortgage market is broken since banks are now demanding higher interest rates because they are anticipating layoffs and want to be compensated for taking on the credit risk. It could be the overpriced real estate market is very shaky here. So a collapse in the housing market could be the trigger — again.
I am a voracious reader and also enjoy writing. I often have a very different point of view than the popular one. I do see value in debate, and thought it might add to the public debate on controversial issues if I were to express my contrarian opinions. I also started keeping my poems recently (I've written little pieces my whole adult life but never kept any); and I've been a photographer now for over 25 years. So I will be adding an occasional poem and hopefully interesting photograph to the blog along the way, just to spice things up.
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